ABP News-CVoter opinion poll on caste factor in upcoming Gujarat polls

According to the ABP News-CVoter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research) opinion poll, the ruling BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) is predicted to win the elections for a record seventh time since 1995, in Gujarat. The BJP is anticipated to win between 135-143 seats, which would represent a significant gain from its 2017 total tally of 99 seats.

ABP News-CVoter opinion poll has conducted survey on the caste equation in the state of Gujarat.

The uppercaste hindus have reposed their faith with BJP with a prediction of 57% vote share, whereas Congress will be getting 26% & AAP will be getting 14% of vote share in 2022 polls. The Dalit vote share this time will be 39% for BJP, Congress is predicted to get 38%, whereas AAP is predicted to get 20% Dalit vote share.

BJP is predicted to get 54% OBC vote share this time. Congress is predicted to get 26% vote share & AAP predicted to get 16% of OBC Vote share.

BJP has seen a decline in The Muslim vote factor, with BJP just getting 23% vote share whereas the Congress & AAP gaining from the loss of BJP with 45 % & 30% of Muslim vote factor.

The opinion poll this time amongst The Game Changer Tribal vote bank, has predicted that BJP is predicted to get 41% vote share. Congress is predicted to get 37% vote share & AAP predicted to get 18% vote share of the tribals.

The important Leuva Patels & Kadva Patel voters seemed to be sticking with BJP with 51% & 49% vote share, whereas the congress is predicted to get 30% & 34% of Leuva & Kadva patel vote share. Whereas AAP who is contesting for the first time in Gujarat Assembly polls is predicted to get 15% & 14% of Leuva & Kadva patel votes.

The Opinion poll has shown that Women Voters is predicted to support BJP with 45% vote share. Congress lagging behind with just 35% & AAP with just 17% vote share.

The survey was conducted amongst youth upto 25 years, the youth of the state is still reposing their faith with BJP with a predicted vote share of 43%, with congress getting 39% vote share from voters & AAP getting 15% of vote share.