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ABP News UP & Bihar Opinion Poll Data Survey rates PM Modi as 'Good'

ABP News, today released the opinion poll survey results for the two most important states of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, sharing the unique perspective of the political scenario prevailing within the two most important Hindi speaking belt of India. Both Uttar Pradesh and Bihar represent a large chunk of the electoral battlefield of India and this survey gives a bird’s eye view of the political setting. The survey is done by Nielsen (India) Private Limited. UP and Bihar are large markets that have always had a very strong influence on the overall dynamics of the election process and have governed the shape of the mandate basis the finalized seat sharing formula.

The survey finding showcased that NDA is clearly leading in Bihar in the coming polls but they will suffer a jolt in UP.

Mr. Avinash Pandey, CEO, ABP News Network said, “Uttar Pradesh and Bihar have a lot of prominence in terms of the political presence not only because of its extensive population but as many members participate in the parliament and being the most dominant in terms of the large Hindi speaking population that has keen interest in the election process. ABP has been lauded as a preferred channel by the viewers for its insightful reporting that has been providing the ground reality from the hinterland keeping #deshkorakheyaagey.”

Survey Data Results for Uttar Pradesh:

Party

Actual vote % in the 2014 election

Actual seats in the 2014 elections

Forecast vote % as per Opinion Poll Mar 2019

Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Mar 2019

BJP

42.3

71

43

36

AD

1.1

2

INC

7.8

2

9

2

BSP

19.8

0

42

42

SP

22.3

5

RLD

0.8

0

IND and Others

5.9

0

6

0

Total

100.0

80

100

80

 

 

  • Performance of the Prime Minster, Shri Narendra Modi has been rated as 'Good'.  However, among Muslim respondents, his rating is 'average'.
  • Performance of the NDA led Central Government has also been rated as 'Good' with a mean score of 3.73.
  • Corruption and Unemployment are the top two important issues in UP
  • Maintaining Law & Order emerged as the top reason to vote for a party in UP. INC seems to be preferred for communal harmony, price control, welfare schemes and job reservation for backwards classes.
  • Similar to the Chief Minister, the State Government performance has also been rated as 'above average'
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