ABP News-CVoter 3rd OpPoll predicts BJP in four states and Punjab’s hung assembly

The ABP News-CVoter(Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research)third opinion poll predicts closely fought victories for BJP inthe states of UP, Manipur, Goa and Uttarakhand. The trackersuggests that Punjab is heading towards a hung assembly with no party being able to cross the majority mark. AAP remains in the leading position, followed by the incumbent INC.

As per ABP News-CVoter third opinion poll in UP, Yogi Adityanath and Akhilesh Yadav remain the two leading candidates for the CM post. As per latest figures, BJP is retaining the state with 212-224 seats, followed by SP with151-163 seats and BSP in a distant third with 12-24 seats. In terms of vote share, BJP is in pole position with 40.4% vote share followed by SP with 33.6% and BSP with 13.2%. 

As per ABP News-CVoter third opinion poll in Punjab, the repeal of farm laws and suspension of protests by farmerspromises to make an exciting finale to the elections. This month’s tracker puts AAP in the lead maintaining its earlier position with 50-56 seats. The incumbent INC is second with 39-45 seats, followed by SAD with 17-23 seats. In terms of vote share, AAP is leading with 38.4% votes, followed by INC with 34.1% and SAD with 20.4%.

As per ABP News-CVoter third opinion poll in Uttarakhand, BJP is consistently maintaining its lead position with 33-39 seats and is set to retain power in the state. The INC is a close second with 29-35 seats, followed by AAP in a distant third with 1-3 seats. In terms of vote share, BJP is leading the way with 39.8% votes, followed by INC with 35.7% and AAP with 12.6% vote share.

As per ABP News-CVoter third opinion poll in Goa, BJP continues to remain the most popular party as it is winning17-21 seats. AAP and INC are in a tight battle for second largest party with AAP winning 5-9 seats and INC winning 4-8 seats. Other regional parties and new entrants in Goa’spolitics are also going to be a major factor with these parties winning 6-10 seats. In terms of vote share, BJP is leading with 30%, followed by others with 25.9% and AAP and INC with 24.4% and 19.7% respectively.

 As per ABP News-CVoter third opinion poll in Manipur, BJP is set to win a closely fought contest with INC in the state. BJP is winning 29-33 seats while INC is winning 23-27 seats. In terms of vote share, BJP is winning 37.9% votes followed by INC with 34.3% votes.

The current projections are based on CVoter daily tracking poll conducted from 13th November to 9th December, among 18+ adults, including likely voters.

As for the methodology and survey details, the survey reached out to a total of approximately 92,000+ across 5 states (UP, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa) and was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey). The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.